The Linda Problem: When Stories Trick Your Brain



Meet Linda.

She’s 31.
Single. Super smart.
Majored in philosophy.
Cares about social justice.
Even marched against nuclear power.

If you pictured her as your outspoken activist friend on Facebook, you’re not alone.

Now here’s the twist:

The Question

Which of the following is more likely?
A) Linda is a bank teller.
B) Linda is a bank teller and a feminist.

Most people confidently pick B.
But mathematically, the correct answer is A.

Why? Because the probability of two things being true at the same time (bank teller + feminist) can never be higher than the probability of just one thing being true (bank teller). In symbols:

P(A&B)P(A)P(A \& B) \leq P(A)

Adding extra conditions always reduces likelihood, not increases it.


Why Our Brains Flop

This puzzle, famously called the Linda Problem, was designed by psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. It shows how humans fall for what’s called the conjunction fallacy.

Here’s why:

  • Our brain loves stories. More details = more vivid = more believable.

  • But math hates extra details. More details = smaller probability.

Result: we get tricked. In fact, about 85% of people answer wrong when first given the problem.


A Simple Fix

Researchers found that when you reframe the puzzle with actual numbers, people suddenly get it:

Out of 100 women like Linda, how many are bank tellers?
How many are bank tellers and feminists?

Once numbers enter the picture, the brain is forced to think logically instead of narratively.


The Bigger Lesson

The Linda Problem isn’t just a quirky psychology trick—it’s a warning. In real life, we often prefer detailed, emotional stories over plain statistics. That’s why conspiracy theories, stereotypes, and even marketing pitches feel convincing.

  • Storytelling hijacks logic.

  • Details seduce us.

  • Probability quietly takes a back seat.

Or in meme-speak:

Math: “Linda is just a bank teller.”
You: “But what if she’s woke  too?”
Math: “Bruh.”


🏆 Takeaway

Next time you’re faced with a choice that sounds “too detailed to be wrong,” pause. Strip the story down. Ask: What’s actually more probable?

Because while Linda might be a lot of things, math insists she’s still most likely just a bank teller.

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